Characteristics analysis of spatial and temporal variation on extreme weather events in Anhui Province for recent 50 years     

Jun Zhao  Jinchao Xu  Xuechun Li  Yi Zhong  Donghao Han  Hang Qiu 《Natural Hazards》2017,87(2):817-841

To mitigate the impact of natural or man-made hazards on the services of an infrastructure facility, it is important to quantitatively assess its available capacity. For example, in a post-disaster scenario, critical infrastructure is likely to experience (i) excessive demand for the service of an infrastructure and/or (ii) compromised capacity because of damage to the infrastructure and the failure of infrastructure interdependencies. As the demand grows and nears the capacity limit of an infrastructure facility, a shortage of services required for the community’s recovery will occur. The development of mitigation strategies and an assessment of their effectiveness require a systematic approach. In this paper, a functional stress–strain principle for infrastructure facilities is proposed to quantitatively assess their serviceability in post-disaster scenarios. Functional stress in infrastructure management represents a service-related demand on an infrastructure facility, while strain indicates its coping capacity. The dynamic nature of infrastructure services will be considered depending on the relationship between demand and available capacity. The allowable range of functional stress is then defined, considering plastic and elastic patterns of responses of a facility during recovery to explore strain capacity variations. The proposed principle facilitates a systematic understanding of how infrastructure facilities can adapt themselves to growing stress and the maximum level of stress they can handle. The application of the proposed functional stress–strain principle is demonstrated through case studies of two infrastructure facilities in a post-earthquake scenario: a medical facility and a power facility.  相似文献   

Spatial pattern and regional types of rural settlements in Xuzhou City, Jiangsu Province, China   总被引：4，自引：1，他引：3  

MA Xiaodong  QIU Fangdao  LI Quanlin  SHAN Yongbin  CAO Yong 《中国地理科学(英文版)》2013,23(4):482-491

This paper principally focuses on the morphological differences,spatial pattern and regional types of rural settlements in Xuzhou City of Jiangsu Province in China.Using satellite images of Xuzhou City taken in 2007 and 2008 and models of exploratory spatial data analysis(ESDA) and spatial metrics,the paper conducts a quantitative analysis of the morphological pattern of rural settlements,and finds significant characteristics.First,rural settlements in Xuzhou City are significantly agglomerated in terms of their spatial distribution;meanwhile,there is significant variation in the geographical density distribution.Second,the scale of rural settlements in Xuzhou City is larger than the average in Jiangsu Province,and the histogram of the scale data is more even and more like a gamma distribution.There are a significant high-value cluster in the scale distribution,and local negative correlation between the scale and density distribution of rural settlements in Xuzhou City.Third,the morphology of rural settlements in Xuzhou City shows relative regularity with good connection and integrity,but the spatial variation of the morphology is anisotropic.Finally,according to the characteristics of density,scale,and form of rural settlements,the rural settlements of Xuzhou City are divided into three types:A high-density and point-scattered type,a low-density and cluster-like type and a mass-like and sparse type.The research findings could be used as the scientific foundation for rural planning and community rebuilding,particularly in less-developed areas.  相似文献   

选择性滤波同位网格有限差分法在地震波数值模拟中的应用.          下载免费PDF全文

丘磊  田钢  王帮兵 《地震学报》2012,34(4):463-475

引入计算空气声学领域的选择性滤波同位网格有限差分算法（SFFD法）用于二维地震波数值模拟．SFFD法使用经过优化的11点DRP同位网格差分格式,对空间一阶导数进行离散近似,同时采用选择性滤波方法来消除同位网格差分所产生的格点高频振荡,它既提高了数值模拟的精度, 又保证了求解过程的稳定性．数值实验结果表明,SFFD法能够达到O(Delta;x8, Delta;t4)阶交错网格算法同样的精度,同时该方法还具有很强的适应性,能够应用于存在着强泊松比差异的介质模型中,完整地模拟地震波传播过程中各类型的波场,并且对复杂非均匀介质的适应能力也很好．此外,由于避免了交错网格算法在曲线坐标系和一般各向异性介质的数值模拟时所需进行的复杂的插值运算, SFFD法在这些问题上也有着很好的应用前景．   相似文献   

玉树地震前的地下流体观测井温度数据超差异常及其与地震关系研究     

李滔  马建新  樊春燕  邱鹏成  姚家骏 《中国地震》2012,28(3):328-334

本文收集整理了距2010年4月14日玉树7.1级地震震中700km范围内的全部13个地下流体观测井孔的温度观测资料,统计分析了2008年5月以来各井温度当月超过3倍均方差的数据个数(以下简称月超差个数).结果发现,在玉树地震前6个月,13个观测井中有10个井观测数据出现月超差个数升高现象,有4个观测井月超差个数出现了同震升高和震后升高现象.2008、2009年大柴旦发生的2次6级以上地震前,也有类似现象.此异常现象可能反映了玉树地震前场兆和源兆的共同作用过程.  相似文献   

Failure time variation derived from R–S relation: the role of the static stress perturbation          下载免费PDF全文

Qiu Zhong  Wenhao Shen  Baoping Shi 《地震科学（英文版）》2014,27(1):37-46

In general, earthquake cycle related to earthquake faulting could include four major processes which could be described by (1) fault locking, (2) self-acceleration or nucleation (possible foreshocks), (3) coseismic slip, and (4) post-stress relaxation and afterslip. A sudden static stress change/perturbation in the surrounding crust can advance/delay the fault instability or failure time and modify earthquake rates. Based on a simple one-dimensional spring-slider block model with the combination of rate-and-state-dependent friction relation, in this study, we have approximately derived the simple analytical solutions of clock advance/delay of fault failures caused by a sudden static Coulomb stress change applied in the different temporal evolution periods during an earthquake faulting. The results have been used in the physics-based explanation of delayed characteristic earthquake in Parkfield region, California, in which the next characteristic earthquake of M 6.0 after 1966 occurred in 2004 instead of around 1988 according to its characteristic return period of 22 years. At the same time, the analytical solutions also indicate that the time advance/delay in Coulomb stress change derived by the dislocation model has a certain limitation and fundamental flaw. Furthermore, we discussed the essential difference between rate- and state-variable constitutive (R–S) model and Coulomb stress model used commonly in current earthquake triggering study, and demonstrated that, in fact, the Coulomb stress model could be involved in the R–S model. The results, we have obtained in this study, could be used in the development of time-dependent fault interaction model and the probability calculation related to the time-dependent and renewal earthquake prediction model.  相似文献   

中国东北地区晚二叠世岩相古地理特征   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1       下载免费PDF全文

曲希玉  张满利  刘立  王德海  邱隆伟 《古地理学报》2013,15(5):679-692

在6条野外实测剖面和38条收集剖面的基础上, 通过剖面的岩石组合特征及样品的元素地球化学分析, 对中国东北地区晚二叠世的沉积环境和古地理特征进行了研究。结果显示, 东北地区上二叠统样品常量元素具有高Si、Al, 低P、Mn、Ca的特点;微量元素具有高V、Rb、Zr、Ba, 低Be、Mo、Cd、Ta和U的特点;稀土元素表现为轻、重稀土分异显著, 轻稀土相对富集, Eu负异常的特征。沉积环境主体为陆相淡水还原环境;存在北部、东部和西部3个物源, 其中北部和东部为主要物源方向;发育三角洲相、扇三角洲相和湖泊相沉积。此外, 林西组底部样品在常量、微量及稀土元素的异常和杨家沟组底部大量碳酸盐岩砾石的出现, 说明晚二叠世初期局部有海侵发生。中国东北地区晚二叠世沉积初期为海陆交互环境, 主体为陆相湖泊沉积环境。  相似文献   

基于SPCA和AHP联合方法的滦河流域生态环境脆弱性变化规律分析   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

于磊  邱殿明  刘莉  凌峰  李巍  胡广鑫  刘国才 《吉林大学学报(地球科学版)》2013,43(5):1588-1594

基于生态敏感性-生态恢复力-生态压力度概念模型评价体系,选取表征地形、地表、气象、土壤、植被及社会经济因子的15项多系统评价指标,应用空间主成分分析（SPCA）与层次分析（AHP）联合方法,对滦河流域1985年、1995年和2005年3期生态环境进行脆弱性评价,并进行量化分级,获得流域生态环境脆弱性变化规律和成因机制。结果表明：流域整体脆弱性等级有减小趋势,潜在脆弱区域面积逐渐增大,而重度脆弱区域明显减小;西北山地和冀东沿海地区变化较为剧烈;人类活动已经取代自然条件,成为影响滦河流域生态系统的关键因子;流域人口的快速增长、气候条件的改变以及土地资源的不合理利用是区域脆弱性变化的主要驱动力。  相似文献   

中国东北部陆缘内生金矿床成因类型、成矿时代及地球动力学背景   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

韩世炯  孙景贵  邢树文  张增杰  柴鹏  杨帆  邱殿明 《吉林大学学报(地球科学版)》2013,43(3):716-733

中国东北部陆缘是我国内生金矿床较为发育的地区之一,以成矿作用复杂、蕴藏丰富的金资源量倍受国内外地质学家关注。通过对该区内生金矿的地质和成矿年代的系统研究,初步将该区内生金矿床划分为中温热液金矿床、接触交代-热液金矿床、斑岩型/类斑岩型金铜矿床和浅成低温热液金矿床4种主要成因类型和3个重要成矿期（170～160 Ma、130～110 Ma和110～90 Ma）。结合同位素地球化学特征,进一步确定中温热液金矿床的成矿物质主要来自下地壳源,成矿作用与中生代燕山早期古太平洋板块俯冲作用引发的中国东部大陆边缘岩石圈减薄及拆沉的动力学过程密切相关;接触交代-热液金矿床的成矿物质来源于年轻地壳,成矿作用与古太平洋板块俯冲引起的岩石圈减薄拆沉的伸展构造背景下的岩浆接触交代作用更为密切;而斑岩型/类斑岩型金铜矿床和浅成低温热液金矿床的成矿物质来源为壳幔混合源,其成矿发生在古太平洋板块向亚洲大陆正北向俯冲转入Izanagi Farallon板块西向俯冲的构造转换期。  相似文献   

吉林省新华龙钼矿床流体包裹体     

张勇  孙景贵  邢树文  赵克强  邱殿明 《吉林大学学报(地球科学版)》2013,43(6):1878

新华龙钼矿床位于中国东北地区吉林省东部,是一个新发现的斑岩型钼矿床。矿床产于花岗闪长斑岩中。矿床成矿阶段包括石英-浸染状辉钼矿、石英-网脉状辉钼矿、石英-黄铁矿-黄铜矿、石英-多金属硫化物和石英-碳酸盐化5个阶段。流体包裹体实验结果表明：流体包裹体的类型主要为气液两相包裹体,其次为纯气相和纯液相包裹体,还有少量含子矿物的多相包裹体。流体包裹体的均一温度为172～385 ℃,盐度(w(NaCl))为8.51%～45.44%。从早阶段到晚阶段成矿流体温度具有规律的演化,均一温度分别为360～390 ℃、270～350 ℃、250～260 ℃、220～230 ℃、170～190 ℃。其中:含子矿物多相包裹体均一温度为272～385 ℃,盐度为35.79％～45.44％,密度为1.07～1.08 g/cm³;气液两相包裹体均一温度为172～381 ℃,盐度为8.51％～23.36％,密度为0.70～0.99 g/cm³。激光拉曼光谱分析表明,包裹体的气体成分主要为CO₂、H₂O、N₂和CH₄。包裹体岩相学及测温表明,流体由早期的高温、高盐度、含二氧化碳的含矿流体在主成矿阶段发生流体包裹体的沸腾、CO₂逸出、温度降低等过程,导致大量金属硫化物沉淀。结合氢氧同位素特征,初步确定该矿床的成矿流体主要以岩浆水为主,后期有大气水的加入。流体沸腾是新华龙钼矿床成矿的重要机制。  相似文献   

塔里木盆地多期改造-晚期定型复合构造与油气战略选区   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

汤良杰  邱海峻  云露  杨勇  谢大庆  李萌  蒋华山 《吉林大学学报(地球科学版)》2014,44(1):1

受关键构造变革期制约,叠合盆地具有分期差异变形特征。从变形角度分析,塔里木盆地可以追溯出5期主要的构造改造作用,即加里东中期、加里东晚期-海西早期、海西晚期、印支-燕山期和喜马拉雅期,并影响塔里木盆地的发展演化历史。通过对塔北、塔中和库车已知油气聚集区解剖表明:古生代多期改造形成的断裂、褶皱、隆升、剥蚀和岩溶作用,对台盆区巨型海相碳酸盐岩古岩溶油气藏的形成具有重要的控制作用;中、新生代多期改造过程,对前陆褶皱-冲断带大规模油气聚集成藏具有重要的控制作用;这些已知油气聚集区带都是在喜马拉雅晚期最终定型的,总体构成多期改造-晚期定型复合构造油气聚集模式。综合分析了塔里木新区分期差异构造变形特征,在此基础上,依据叠合盆地多期改造-晚期定型构造模式,对塔里木新区进行了区块评价和油气战略选区,认为巴楚隆起、麦盖提斜坡和西昆仑山前褶皱-冲断带是近期油气勘探突破的首选地区,塔东地区、塘古巴斯坳陷和阿瓦提断陷具有良好的油气勘探前景。  相似文献